22 Aug
2005

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CDMA
and TeleGeography
CDMA industry consortium the CDMA Development Group (CDG)
has announced
that the global number of CDMA2000 subscribers rose by 17%
in the second quarter of 2005, reaching 185 million.
Around 68% of all CDMA users now access CDMA2000 services;
CDMA is currently growing at around 27% annually (with the
aggregate CDMA subscriber base estimated at 270 million).
Most users are in North America, where the CDMA subscriber
base hit the 100 million subscriber mark at the end of June
2005. CDG indicates that 47% of all wireless users in the
US and Canada use CDMA technologies: 69% (some 80 million
people) access CDMA2000.
There are 116.2 million CDMA subscribers in the Asia-Pacific
(43% of the global CDMA subscriber base). 79% of the region's
CDMA subscribers use CDMA2000 systems; some 8% subscribe to
CDMA2000 1xEV-DO broadband services.
The Latin American region grew to 49.2 million CDMA users
during the past year, with 15 million accessing CDMA2000 services.
Uptake of CDMA is currently running at around 41% on past
figures, reflecting extension of CDMA-based mobile networks.
TeleGeography
The latest report
from telco statistics specialist TeleGeography indicates "maturation"
of the global information infrastructure (GII)
and the net.
TeleGeography's survey of backbone providers suggests that
global cross-border internet traffic
grew by 49% in 2005, down from 103% in 2004. The fastest growing
regions - Asia (76%) and Latin America (70%) - produced only
modest traffic growth by the standards of previous years.
The report argues that the rate of traffic growth will depend
on underlying growth in the number of broadband subscribers,
which has begun to slow in most developed markets. As of mid-2005
the combined average traffic on all cross-border backbone
routes was just under 1 Terabit per second (Tbps), projected
to range from 2 to 3 Terabits per second by 2008.
That is a long way from some of the more delirious forecasts
that traffic would continue to double every 100 days, one
basis for the telco
bubble at the turn of the millennium. TeleGeography comments
that
An important secondary sign of market maturity is stabilization
in Internet backbone access pricing. Its latest pricing survey
shows that in the 12 months up to mid-2005, prices fell less
sharply than in previous years. In 2004, backbone access prices
around the world fell about 50 percent over the previous year.
This year prices fell between 23 and 33 percent, and many
providers have stated that they have no plans to reduce prices
further.
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